Energy Performance Contracting Methodology Based upon Simulation and Measurement, Building Simulation 2017
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Discrepancies between ex-ante energy performance
assessment and actual consumption of buildings hinder
the development of energy performance contracting
(EPC). To address this issue, uncertainty integration in
simulation as well as measurement and verification
(M&V) strategies have been studied. In this article, we
propose a methodology, combining detailed energy
performance simulation and M&V anticipation.
Statistical studies using Monte-Carlo analysis allow a
guaranteed consumption limit to be evaluated according
to a given risk. Adjustment and verification procedures
are also derived from the simulation results in relation to
an optimised measurement plan. The complete process
has been tested on a refurbishment project allowing the
decrease of the difference between the guaranteed
consumption limit and the reference energy consumption
from 25 % to 15 % of reference consumption.
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